Bandolier has for some time been interested in making sense of risk or chance. There is an interesting paper [1] which suggests using the Paling perspective Scale as a way of doing this.
The idea is that a scale of risk of events of interest are presented, together with some ideas about risks of life events, like that of being killed by lightening or in a road accident (which most of us think of as being remote), as well as more common risks. The risks of any particular event associated with a treatment can then be placed alongside - if, that is, the outcomes and timescales are generally similar. And this is something useful for irreversible events rather than adverse …
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